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Wednesday, December 2, 2020

MINISTERIAL DILEMMA FROM A GAME THEORY PERSPECTIVE

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ATEM GAI DE DUT-02 March 2020– The general perception in cabinet appointments especially when there is so much vested interest from different sets of interest groups is that it creates a zero-sum game (perceived or actual) where the satisfaction of one group leads to the loss of the others. The current issue at play between the parties in Juba is not so much about ministries as it is about the overall impact of those ministries, their functions considered.

Take for instance, if the three groups have made up their minds (each without telling the other) that financial control takes precedence or is of equal weight with national security, and that public influence is also important but not critical. Then the ensuing arguments will be transitory in that missing a, will lead to wanting to have b, and even if you were given c, the party would still think that it would be better off with b. You still must remember there are three interest groups, so the problem goes in circles.

It is therefore important to spread the influence of these ministries by creating oversight committees.

The groups have already, probably, tabulated these priorities and decided that they will not let up no matter what. The outcome is that no one will have what they want, because if they strictly go with these categories, it is impossible for all parties to be accommodated.

To bring the parties to an agreement, it is therefore important to spread the influence of these ministries by creating oversight committees and developing their functions so that members from the other parties could have enough authority to monitor the actions of ministries that they wanted but never got around to gaining. This will avoid unnecessary delays and dilemmas in establishing and running the government.

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